Low Hire Low Fire Labour Market: Nicolas Vincent Flags BoC Risk
Canada’s low hire low fire labour market is giving the Bank of Canada a more complicated signal. In remarks at […]
Policy Analysis
Introductory guides and explainers that demystify BoC rates and probabilities.
Canada CPI April 2026: Gasoline Turns Up the Heat on Inflation
Canada CPI April 2026 delivered a hotter headline, but the details underneath were more complicated than a simple inflation rebound.
Macklem Revives Rate-Hike Risk as Inflation Threat Broadens
Bank of Canada inflation is back in focus as policymakers confront a new wave of energy-driven price pressure.The Bank of
Bank of Canada April 2026 Decision: Rates Hold at 2.25% as War and Oil Complicate Outlook
The BoC April 2026 decision kept the overnight rate unchanged at 2.25%, but this was not a simple hold. The
Canada CPI March 2026 Edges Higher to 2.4%, Raising Questions for Rate Cut Timing
Canada CPI March 2026 rose to 2.4% year over year, up from 1.8% in February, as price pressures reappeared across
BoC Keeps Rates at 2.25% While Warning Signs Build in the Economy
The Bank of Canada kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25% in the March 2026 decision, choosing caution as
Canada Inflation Cools to 1.8%, but Food and Rent Still Bite
Canada inflation February 2026 downed to 1.8% year over year, from 2.3% in January, according to the latest Consumer Price
Canada’s Monetary Policy Framework: Supply Shock Trade-Offs
Canada’s monetary policy framework is being assessed in a global environment increasingly shaped by supply-driven shocks. In a March 2026
Canada CPI January 2026 Rises 2.3% as Shelter and Food Pressures Persist
Canada CPI January 2026 increased 2.3% year over year, according to new data released by Statistics Canada on February 17.
Bank of Canada Says Rate Path Hard to Predict
The Bank of Canada rate path has become increasingly difficult to predict as risks to inflation and economic growth rise,