BoC’s September Hold Was Expected. The Risk Mix Wasn’t
No rate move. Plenty of new risk. The BoC September decision kept the policy rate at 2.25% on September 2, […]
Policy Analysis
Introductory guides and explainers that demystify BoC rates and probabilities.
Gasoline Pushes CPI to 3% Ahead of the BoC’s September Call
Canada inflation climbed to 3.0% in July, up from 2.8% in June, as another sharp rise in gasoline prices pushed
Bank of Canada Officials Question How Long Economic Rebound Will Last
The Bank of Canada economic rebound outlook has improved, but officials are still questioning whether the recovery has staying power.
Canada Inflation Falls to 2.8% in June as Gasoline Prices Drop
Canada inflation June 2026 slowed to 2.8% year over year, down from 3.2% in May, as gasoline prices fell sharply during
Bank of Canada Holds at 2.25% in July as Growth Rebound Meets Inflation Risks
The July BoC rate hold left the overnight rate at 2.25%, the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate
Toronto’s Inflation Problem: Why Many Residents Feel Prices Are Rising Faster Than Official CPI
Inflation in Canada has fallen significantly from its 2022 peak, allowing the Bank of Canada to begin lowering interest rates.
Canada Inflation Hits 3.2% in May 2026 as Cost-of-Living Pressure Builds
Canada inflation May 2026 came in hotter than the previous month, with the Consumer Price Index rising 3.2% from a
Bank of Canada’s June Rate Hold Leaves It Caught Between Weak Growth and Oil
The June rate hold landed where a complicated economy pointed: no cut, no hike, and no victory lap. The Bank
Low Hire Low Fire Labour Market: Nicolas Vincent Flags BoC Risk
Canada’s low hire low fire labour market is giving the Bank of Canada a more complicated signal. In remarks at
Canada CPI April 2026: Gasoline Turns Up the Heat on Inflation
Canada CPI April 2026 delivered a hotter headline, but the details underneath were more complicated than a simple inflation rebound.